The 2023 Fantasy Football season is coming to an end very quickly, and we here at 4QWI want to ensure you make it through this final stretch with playoff hopes in full view. Our 100% accurate start/sit takes are back once again, so please do pay attention, folks. The Patriots are on the BYE this week so finding options to sit took a bit more sifting this week...
Anyhow, this may go without saying, but we will go ahead and leave out the effective matchup-proof picks such as Tyreek Hill, Christian McCaffrey and Patrick Mahomes. With all that said, let's get down to business.
Start: Joshua Dobbs @ Denver Broncos (SNF, 11/19 @ 8:20 PM EST)
Dobbs has turned out to be one of the best stories of the entire NFL season and now gets to shine on primetime against the Broncos, who are still allowing close to the most points to opposing QBs. With a likely return of Justin Jefferson to play around with, along with with the QB position being pretty stinky in fantasy, Dobbs is a great option this week.
Start: Kyler Murray @ Houston Texans (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Mr. Murray said "injury and Modern Warfare 3 be damned" and put on a solid performance in his return game against the Falcons last week and now takes aim at a hot Houston team that has allowed 69 (nice) points in their last two games. With a healthy office resurfacing around him, this should be a high-scoring affair with Kyler shining as a borderline QB1.
Start: Brock Purdy vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11/19 @ 4:05 PM EST)
Purdy showed last week that the previous few 49er games were merely a slump, and he lit up the Jaguars with a stat line of 296/3/0. He faces a soft Bucs secondary with a healthier team around in what is a big "prove it" moment for him. Start Purdy with confidence this week.
Sit: Baker Mayfield @ San Francisco 49ers (11/19 @ 4:05 PM EST)
On the flipside of that same game, I recommend sitting Baker Mayfield if you've got better options. He is facing a 49ers defense that just made mincemeat of a capable Jaguars offense, and baker himself has not been a statistical monster this season thus far, though he's made few mistakes. Mayfield may have trouble getting going and is a "start with extreme caution" if you've got nothing else.
Sit: Will Levis @ Jacksonville Jaguars (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
After a four-touchdown game against the Falcons a few weeks back, fantasy owners have been waiting to see if Levis truly is worth a roster spot. Since then, Levis has a line of 461/0/2 in his last two games. As he enters Week 11, he faces a Jaguars defense that is allowing the third most yards per game, but until he shows us he has what it takes, we're sitting Mr. Levis.
Running Backs: @jvr1210
Start: Ty Chandler @ Denver Broncos (SNF, 11/19 @ 8:20 PM EST)
Injuries have continually not been kind to the Vikings offense this season, with Cam Akers tearing his Achilles in week 9 and Alexander Mattison suffering a concussion in week 10 against the Saints. When Mattison went down the second-year RB with 14 career carries, Ty Chandler took over the lead back role, carrying the ball 15 times for 45 yards and a touchdown against a decent Saints defense.
This week seems to be the same story, Mattison is still in concussion protocol and has missed every practice so far this week. The odds seem to be leaning in favor of Ty Chandler being the leadback again for the Vikings. This weekend the Vikings matchup against the Broncos, who as we all know by now have the worst running defense in the league. The numbers speak for themselves, the Broncos have allowed the most fantasy points to running backs this season and they have allowed eight running backs to score at least 14 points in a PPR format. Even in their most recent win, they still allowed the Bills to rush for 192 yards and 2 TDs.
If Mattison continues to remain out I’d give Ty Chandler a start this week if you were lucky enough to grab him off of waivers, as the Vikings are hot and I expect them to continue to remain hot this week against the Broncos with Ty Chandler playing a key role.
Start: Darrell Henderson vs. Seattle Seahawks (11/19 @ 4:25 PM EST)
With Kyren Williams expected to return in Week 12 this will be Darrell Henderson’s last chance to shine. Although he hasn’t done so much in the running game, Henderson has been able to produce in the passing game. If you are in a PPR league Henderson is worth taking a look at for a flex option as he has scored over 12 points in two of the three games since Williams went down.
This week the running back duo of Henderson and Freeman go up against the Seattle Seahawks who are allowing an average of 116 rushing yards per game to opposing teams and just over 1 rushing TD per game. With Matthew Stafford expected to be back this week the Rams offense should be a bit more potent and we all know those rushing yards aren’t coming from Stafford. With one last opportunity before Kyren Williams is back, I expect Henderson to take the reins and put together a start-worthy performance this week.
Sit: Isaiah Pacheco vs. Philadelphia Eagles (MNF, 11/20 @ 8:15 PM EST)
After five straight double-digit PPR performances, Isaiah Pacheco has been a bit disappointing lately putting up 7 points against the worst run defense in the league (the Denver Broncos) and 6 points against an average Dolphins defense that is allowing the 18th most fantasy points to running backs this year. With just 138 rushing yards with 0 TDs in his last three games, things don’t get much easier for Pacheco this week as the Chiefs and Eagles meet up for a Super Bowl rematch.
The Eagles so far this year have only allowed two total touchdowns to opposing running backs, have the fewest rushing yards per game allowed at 66, and have surrendered the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs this year. Avoid Pacheco at all costs this week.
Sit: Najee Harris @ Cleveland Browns (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
The curious case of Najee Harris continues. After scoring just 31 PPR points and failing to find the endzone at all in his first five games of the season, Harris has found some consistency lately. Harris has put together double-digit fantasy performances in each of his last four games, including 96 total yards and a touchdown in week 10 against the Packers. Throughout that run, he’s found the endzone in three of those four games. This week he has the misfortune of meeting up with the Browns defense. The Browns currently have the seventh-best run defense in the league, holding opposing teams to roughly 90 rushing yards per game, and have allowed the 6th least fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. In week 2 against the Browns Harris ran the ball 10 times for 43 yards and only had one catch for three yards. I just don’t trust Najee Harris to perform well against such a dominant defense, avoid starting Harris if you can.
Wide Receivers: @BreTT_Shevlin
Start: Courtland Sutton vs. Minnesota Vikings (SNF, 11/19 @ 8:20 PM EST)
I own Sutton in quite a few leagues I’m in and I couldn’t be happier to have him. He’s scored a touchdown in 7 of the Broncos 9 games this year! This offense runs through Courtland Sutton. He’s their number one red zone target and the guy Russell Wilson looks for very 3rd down attempt. I don’t think Sutton is being talked about enough and maybe that’s because he doesn’t have that monster game on his resume. Either way, Sutton has too high of a floor to not start him against a mediocre Minnesota secondary.
Start: Rashee Rice vs. Philadelphia Eagles (MNF, 11/20 @ 8:15 PM EST)
Man I can’t wait for this game. Super Bowl rematch with two of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. Expect a high scoring affair in this one with Rice being one of the main beneficiaries. Aside from Travis Kelce, Rashee seems to be Mahomes’ favorite target and he’s consistently been putting up enough points to warrant flex consideration every week. Managers are still waiting for that breakout game from Rice to truely solidify his position in this offense. The Eagles are known for giving up chunk plays on the regular so hopefully Rice can capitalize on those mistakes.
Sit: Diontae Johnson @ Cleveland Browns (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
As someone that rosters Diontae Johnson I have him on my bench this week. The Browns have caused trouble to opposing wide recievers all year and Kenny Pickett is just a sad excuse for a starting QB in todays NFL. Last week, the Steelers seemed to finally be able to get the run game clicking rushing for a season high 205 yards against Green Bay. I expect they’ll at least try to pound the rock again against Cleveland and we’ll see how the Browns respond.
Sit: Jakobi Myers @ Miami Dolphins (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
The only people mad that Jimmy Garroppolo was benched for Aidan O’Connell are Jakobi Myers and Jakobi Myers fantasy managers. The first 7 weeks of the year Myers was seeing an enormous amount of targets and now the offense strictly runs through Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams. Sit Jakobi until he can turn it around.
Tight Ends: @BreTT_Shevlin
Start: Trey McBride @ Houston Texans (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
With Kyker Murray and James Conner returning from injured reserve, this is a completely different cardinals offense. Since taking the starting job from Zach Ertz, McBride has seen 5 or more targets in every game. Oh and did I mention the Texans are ranked last in the league against tight ends? Yea McBride to the moon this week.
Start: Jake Ferguson @ Carolina Panthers (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Y’all see what Dak did last week? Going up the against the last place Carolina Panthers I expect more of the same. Ferguson is currently on a 3 game TD streak and I say let’s make it four.
Sit: Evan Engram vs. Tennessee Titans (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Trevor Lawrence is coming off his worst game of his NFL career throwing for just 185 yards and turning the ball over three times. The Titans aren’t nearly as talented as the 49ers defense, but I don’t like the matchup here for Engram. The Titans have not allowed a tight end to score on them all season and are allowing the second least fantasy points to tight ends. Unfortunately there’s just too many mouths to feed for Trevor Lawrence, that Engram is very touchdown dependent moving forward.
Sit: David Njoku vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Unfortunately for Browns fans Deshaun Watson will undergo season-ending surgery on a broken bone in his throwing shoulder, which means that bum Thompson-Robinson will get the nod again. I would just avoid all browns players in general because there’s just such a talent gap there that it’ll be hard for Cleveland to compete against probably the best division in football, in the AFC North. Cleveland plays the Steelers this week at home and I expect a defensive showdown.
Start: New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (11/19 @ 4:25 PM EST)
This one is obvious. But still needs to be said. Josh Allen struggles against this defense who had his number once already this season. A top 5 ESPN fantasy defense going up against a possibly crumbling offense with a new OC. I see some nice picks coming!
Start: Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
The Titans go up against a struggling Jaguars Defense and T Law coming off a rough game against the 9ers. The Titans have 9 sacks in their last 3 games. The Titans are top half of the league against the run (14th) which means the duty may fall to Lawrence to throw more than usual. Luckily for the titans they are even better against opposing QBs (12th) and they’re number 1 against TEs. Only being rostered in 4% of ESPN leagues could make the Titans a sleeper defense and nice bye week pickup.
Sit: Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings (SNF, 11/19 @ 8:20 PM EST)
Josh Dobbs is a man on fire apparently. Jefferson may be back. Hockenson is a dawg. After back to back decent games one being very good against the chiefs the Broncos are readily available in almost 97% of ESPN leagues. If you need a defense this week I would avoid the Broncos. The are 27th in fantasy points against QBs and 30th against TEs. Yikes.
Sit: Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs (MNF, 11/20 @ 8:15 PM EST)
The Eagles go on the road to Arrowhead this weekend for a lovely Super Bowl rematch and maybe even a Super Bowl preview? Regardless, the Eagles have been shaky against QBs this year. Ranking 31st in points allowed to the position. Incase you didn’t know that Mahomes guy is pretty good. 20th against TE as well. So Arrowhead, Mahomes, Kelce, and god forbid Taylor Swift I’m expecting a down game.
Start Jake Elliot @ Kansas City Chiefs (MNF, 11/20 @ 8:15 PM EST)
A game with big high scoring potential means lots of field goal and PAT opportunities for kickers. With the Eagles coming off the bye there’s a chance he is available on waivers even. He’s rostered in about 84% of ESPN leagues.
Start Nick Folk @ Jacksonville Jaguars (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Even more readily available at a low 41% rostered in ESPN leagues Nick Folk stands on consistency. A juicy 21/22 on FGs he could lead you to 8-13 points which from a kicker what do you expect?
Sit Greg Zuerlein @ Buffalo Bills (11/19 @ 4:25 PM EST)
Going against a Bills defense which is a top 10 fantasy defense the outlook may be slim for all Jets players. But specifically for Greg the Bills are the 8th best defense against kickers giving a measly 6 pts a game which is also 8th best. Pair that with Zach Wilson breathing on the field and I don’t think his chances will be spectacular… the only hope is that the defense gets him some good field position.
Sit: Cairo Santos @ Detroit Lions (11/19 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Available in almost 90% of leagues coming off a good 3/3 FG with 1XP game some may look to him for a bye week add but similarly to Greg .. Cairo is lined up for a down week. The Lions are the 6th best defense against kickers. If Fields is back and healthy I would still hesitate.