The final stretch of the Fantasy Football season is upon us and I can speak from experience that things can still go either way and surely many of your leagues have their fair share of 4-5 and 5-4 records that can swing on a dime, just like the NFL itself currently. To ensure a win this week, take some of 4QWI's patented 100% foolproof advice and get that George H. DUBYA this week.
This may go without saying, but we will go ahead and leave out the effective matchup-proof picks such as Tyreek Hill, Christian McCaffrey and Patrick Mahomes. With all that said, let's get down to business.
Start: Dak Prescott vs. New York Giants (11/12 @ 4:25 PM EST)
Dak Prescott has been cooking lately. Dak has scored at least 25 fantasy points in each of his last three games and over his last two games he has 681 passing yards, 7 passing TD’s, and only one turnover. This week Dak matches up against the New York Giants who have been decent against opposing QBs, ranking 12th in fantasy points allowed per game to opposing QBs. Honestly, a lot of this may come from their ability to allow opposing defenses to rack up the points, turning the ball over 9 times. A prime example of this was Dak Prescott’s week 1 performance against the Giants, where he went 13 for 24 with 143 passing yards, 0 TDs, and 0 turnovers. Only 6 fantasy points in a game the Cowboys won 40-0. This was largely due to the Cowboys D/ST scoring 3 TDs and taking away the need for a passing-heavy offense early in the game.
I’d expect the red-hot Dak to remain hot against a broken Giants team who just allowed the Raiders, led by Aidan O’Connell to put up 30 points in Week 9.
Start: Geno Smith vs. Washington Commanders (11/12 @ 4:25 PM EST)
Geno Smith is an interesting case. He hasn’t exactly been having a great year and currently sits as QB22 in fantasy. Geno is also coming off his worst game of the year against an elite Ravens defense, where he went 13 for 28 for 157 yards, 0 TDs, a fumble, and an interception. On the year Geno only has 1802 passing yards with 9 TDs to 7 INTs and a passer rating of 86.4. It has certainly been a struggle compared to a year ago when Geno threw for 4000 yards and 30 TDs to go along with a passer rating above 100. What makes this matchup so interesting is the Commanders.
The Commanders have arguably the worst passing defense in the league and just recently gutted their pass rush, trading away both Chase Young and Montez Sweat. The results last week weren’t bad per se, as Mac Jones threw for 220 yards with a TD and an INT but they did fail to record a sack against a better but still not fantastic Patriots offensive line. To add onto that the Commanders have allowed the 4th most passing yards in the league (most since week 5) and the second most passing TDs in the league. With a talented receiver core and Tyler Lockett playing more like himself lately I’d expect Geno Smith to have his best game of the season.
Sit: Kyler Murray vs. Atlanta Falcons (11/12 @ 4:25 PM EST)
I own Kyler Murray in fantasy football and am very excited to have him back. He does have a semi-favorable matchup against the Falcons who rank 11th in the league in passing yards allowed and 30th in the league in passing TD’s allowed. James Conner is also tracking to be back this week and the return of the duo could spark some much-needed life into the Cardinals offense. All that to say, this is still the 1-8 Cardinals were talking about, and honestly with how long Murray has been out I need to see him in action before trusting him as a starting fantasy QB again. A fun other tidbit is a new Call of Duty launches this week and the numbers don’t lie, Kyler Murray plays worse when major Call of Duty events are happening (I’m just kidding of course).
Sit: Deshaun Watson @ Baltimore Ravens (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Deshaun Watson looked decent last week against the Cardinals, putting up 219 passing yards, 2 TDs, along with 22 rushing yards for 19 fantasy points. But this is all about the matchup, this week Watson plays against the Ravens who have just brutalized opposing teams QBs. The Ravens have allowed the least fantasy points to opposing QBs this year, allowing only 6 passing TDs in 9 games while also racking up 9 INTs and leading the way in sacks with 35. I fully expect this game to be a defensive slugfest and I would avoid starting Deshaun Watson if at all possible. As a fantasy owner of both Kyler Murray and Deshaun Watson, I’m not too thrilled by my choices this week.
Running Backs: @BreTT_Shevlin
Start: Breece Hall @ Las Vegas Raiders (MNF, 11/13 @ 8:20 PM EST)
If there’s one thing the Jets hope to do this week it’s run the ball against the 29th ranked Las Vegas run defense. Even when Hall hasn’t been effective as a runner, he’s made up for it as a receiver. Zach Wilson has targeted Hall 18 times the past 3 weeks which bodes well for this upcoming matchup. Funny enough, the Raiders through the last three weeks are allowing 172 rushing yards a game. I know it’s the Jets offense, but if that doesn’t give you confidence in starting Breece Hall I don’t what will.
Start: Jaylen Warren vs. Green Bay Packers (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
This may be an interesting one for some folks, but anyone with eyeballs can see that Jaylen Warren is a better running back than Najee Harris. It’s tough putting my faith in Matt Canada, but maybe he’s finally starting to see the light? Warren had his season high in attempts and yards last week so let’s hope this trends upward. On the season Jaylen Warren is averaging 4.7 yards per attempt while Najee Harris is averaging 3.8. I think the sample size is large enough at this point for the Steelers to start using him more heavily. I have him as a high end flex play this week against a not so great Packers run defense.
Sit: Gus Edwards vs. Cleveland Browns (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
This one is tough for me because Gus has been so good the last 3 weeks. The reason I’m turning away for this week is because of the matchup first of all. We were all a little late to realize how good this Browns defense is, boasting the #1 ranked pass defense and #4 ranked run defense. The second thing that worries me for Gus Edwards is the sudden emergence of rookie Keaton Mitchell. Mitchell is a very explosive back and that paired with Lamar Jackson could be lethal for the Ravens offense on early downs. I expect Gus to still retain passing down and goal line work.
Sit: Jahmyr Gibbs @ Los Angeles Chargers (11/12 @ 4:05 PM EST)
Well it was fun while it lasted Gibbs managers. David Montgomery is back and we all know how much Dan Campbell likes him some David Montgomery. Going up against the Chargers this week I expect a very pass heavy high scoring type of game. Gibbs could contribute a little in the passing game, but after Sam LaPorta and Amon-Ra St. Brown that only leaves about 40% of the target share. Hold onto Gibbs as a handcuff, but don’t expect a ton of production as long as Montgomery is active.
Wide Receivers: @spechty49
Start: DeAndre Hopkins @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Going up against the Bucs who give up the second most points to WR could open up some big play TDs for Hopkins. Levis proved even last week he is willing to fling the rock to Hopkins even when he is absolutely strapped. Hopkins should see some solid chances.
Start: Drake London @ Arizona Cardinals (11/12 @ 4:05 PM EST)
Heineke is a much more confident and let’s be honest better QB. Going up against a nothing special Cardinals Defense might allow London to hit that extra gear. Combine those two things I could see a spike in all Falcons pass catchers value. London should be a low WR2 and solid Flex!
Start: DJ Moore vs. Carolina Panthers (TNF, 11/9 @ 8:15 PM EST)
I hesitate as DJ Moore with Tyson whoever the hell has been not very good. However, the matchup speaks for itself. The panthers blow. That’s the analysis. Combine that with it being his former team hopefully the coaching staff gets DJ Involved often and early.
Sit: Zay Flowers vs. Cleveland Browns (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
This is the second time Zay faces the Browns and the first time was a weak outcome. 3 catches for 56 yards. I’ve sung plenty of praises for the Browns Defense this year… they have the second fewest points allowed this season to fantasy WRs. I wouldn’t take any offensive players in this juggernaut Defense matchup.
Sit: Amari Cooper @ Baltimore Ravens (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Similar to Zay Flowers, Amari just has the displeasure of going up against a great Defense. Ravens have given up the least points all season. Only 3 receivers have scored TDs on them all year. They are 6th lowest WR points. Again stay away from all offense this game
Tight Ends: @spechty49
Start: Dalton Kincaid vs. Denver Broncos (MNF, 11/13 @ 8:15 PM EST)
He has emerged as frequent option for the Bills leading the bills in Routes, catches, and targets last week. The Broncos are not good at covering TEs and have given up the 4th most yards per game to them. Between that and the target share I would expect a solid outing
Start: Dalton Schultz @ Cincinnati Bengals (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Similar logic with Kincaid as well… leading the team in routes, targets, and catches. CJ Stroud has exploded and cemented himself as a pretty firm ROTY leader after last game. The Bengals give up the 6th most TDs. Dalton has 4 Tuds in 5 games and I expect another one here. So I’m riding Stroud's hot hand.
Sit: Kyle Pitts @ Arizona Cardinals (11/12 @ 4:05 PM EST)
Like many probably hoped, including me, is that Heineke would catapult the TE production. Well he did just not this one. Pitts seemed to have taken a backseat to Jonnu Smith. If you Have Pitts on your team you don’t need to see stats. But if you need more convincing the Cardinals are actually very good against TEs. So sadly Pitts still belongs on the bench.
Sit: Cade Otton vs. Teneesee Tians (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
Cade has come on in recent weeks which may have people putting him in the lineup but the Titans provide a bleak outlook for this week. The Titans have only had one TE score double digits against them this year. It was Mark Andrews. Needless to say Cade is no Mark Andrews.
Start: Raiders vs. New York Jets (SNF, 11/12 @ 8:20 PM EST)
After clearing house in the past weeks, the new-look Raiders burst onto the scene with a decisive 30-6 win over the Giants last week. Now, they take aim at the other team from New Jersey at home against the Jets on Sunday Night Football. Poor Zach Wilson just got sacked 8 times by the Chargers, so look for the Raiders to feast in another statement game that will keep them in the Wildcard race. They are one of the best D/ST options this week.
Start: Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST) The Packers have been an effective if unexciting defense this year, allowing the 11th least yards per game, but at the same are averaging close to the least turnovers taken in the league. The Packers have a chance of being a solid fantasy play this week, facing the Steelers Quarterbacked by Kenny Pickett whose offense has been generally meh. If you're looking for a safe D/ST play that definitely won't garner negative points for you, consider the packers.
Start: Seattle Seahawks vs. Washington Commanders (11/12 @ 4:25 PM EST)
Seahawks are at home against Sam Howell, who has thrown 9 INTs and has been sacked an insane 44 times. The Commanders may score some points on the Seahawks, but the upside for turnovers and sacks is real, making the Seahawks a solid streaming option for this week.
Sit: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans (11/12 @ 1:00 PM EST)
The Bengals are resurging in short order right now, and are hosting the Houston Texans in is actually one of the more exciting matchups of the week with CJ Stroud being a bonafide stud so far. However, especially owing to Stroud's dominant performance against the Bucs, it is hard to justify a Bengals play this week, even with the Texans run game being just about the worst in the league. The Bengals are also allowing the 6th most yards per game in the league presently. Look elsewhere, but watch the game and enjoy.
Sit: Washington Commanders @ Seattle Seahawks (11/12 @ 4:25 PM EST)
The Commanders are in a state of flux after having gotten rid of Montez Sweat and Chase Young. As it stands, the Commanders have allowed 368.9 yards per game, good for fifth most in the league. They are on the road against the Seahawks, who despite getting trounced by the Ravens last week, do in fact have talent on the offensive side of the ball. The Commanders likely get lit up by the Seahawks trying to remain at the top of the NFC West.
Start: Younghoe Koo @ Arizona Cardinals (11/12 @ 4:05 PM EST) Koo started this season on a down note, but has been the definition of hot, hitting 11/11 on field goals including three 50+ yarders in his last three games alone. Koo also has the highest field goal percentage of all kickers attempting at least 20 this season (95.2%). Going against a soft Cardinals defense, look for Koo to continue to be one of the better fantasy assets in his position this week.
Start: Greg Zuerlein @ Las Vegas Raiders (SNF, 11/12 @ 8:20 PM EST)
A longtime mainstay in fantasy, Zuerlein has seen a lot of work in the past month with the Jets, hitting 13/13 field goals in the past four games. He and the Jets visit the Raiders this Sunday night, and as an offense that has has trouble hitting the end zone against a defense looking to prove something, we will likely see good ol' Greg being called on several times.
Sit: Chad Ryland vs. Indianapolis Colts (Germany, 11/12 @ 9:30 PM EST)
Ryland has the unfortunate double-whammy of being on an awful offense and also not actually being a good kicker. The Patriots traded away Nick Folk (who is STILL perfect in FG attempts on the season) for this rookie scrub who couldn't kick a ball into the grand canyon. If you have him rostered, why? All those futbol fans in Germany are gonna be losing their minds when they see this 71.4%-averaging doofus swing far right.
Sit: Tyler Bass vs. Denver Broncos (MNF, 11/13 @ 8:15 PM EST) Tyler Bass in his own right is a solid kicker, but has seen minimal usage; only lining up six times for field goals in the past five games. The Bills host the Broncos in a must-win game to remain competitive in the AFC down the final stretch of the season and prove that they are still top dogs in the conference. Because of that, I expect the Bills to put a pounding on the Broncos, with Bass getting minimal work outside of extra points.