The first NFL Sunday in November is here, and as the fantasy football season hits its second half, we here at 4QWI have some amazing takes to offer to get you in position for a Week 9 dub.
Like last year, we will go ahead and leave out the effective matchup-proof picks such as Justin Jefferson and Derrick Henry. Let's get into it.
Quarterbacks: @spechty49
Start: Kirk Cousins vs. Dallas Cowboys (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
Cowboys are 6th in fantasy points per game to opposing QBs. Mooney and Pitts are heating up as well. A high total for this game as well. I would expect a few passing TDs. Expect Kirk to spread the ball around.
Start: Matt Stafford @ Seattle Seahawks (Sunday, 11/3 @ 4:25 PM EST)
Matty has his boys back and that makes a huge difference. The Seahawks D is average. I would expect a more balanced Rams Offense now that all the weapons are healthy. Seahawks have a great passing attack and Kenneth Walker can score from anywhere it seems. So the Rams passing game should be in play all game. Another High Total as well sitting at 48.5.
Start: Bo Nix @ Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
The Broncos have a real chance to upset here. Bo Nix would probably be the best rookie QB if Jayden Daniels didn’t exist. Ravens pass defense is bad. They’ve allowed 2 QBs to have big games and 3 others to have 20+ points. Nix has a nice mobile element as well. I’d keep him in.
Sit: Jameis Winston vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
I think Jameis is worth the pick up to have as a backup up. But this week he faces a chargers D who will prove to be a much less favorable matchup than the Ravens. Chargers are a top 8 defense in terms of fewest points allowed to QBs. As well as a high end D in terms of completions allowed. Jameis has some minor upside in terms of the volume he will probably throwing the ball but there’s better options.
Sit: Jared Goff @ Green Bay Packer (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
The packers have proved to have a staunch Defense against opposing QBs. They held Richardson, Murray, and Stroud to low scoring games. For what it’s worth Goff has struggled at Lambeau before. He threw TDs last week but hardly any yards. Packers are a top 10 fantasy D this year. Currently sitting at 10th in fewest points allowed per game to QBs.
Sit: Tua Tagovailoa @ Buffalo Bills (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
The Bills D is good. Better than all the defenses mentioned above. They have a great TD-INT ratio at 9-8. They’re 6th in fewest fantasy points allowed per game to QBs. Tua makes the Dolphins attack better but there’s Bills Defense Averages less in almost every passing stat than Tuas average. Tua boasts a terrible passer rating of 74.1 in 7 games vs the Bills. With a 7-10 TD-INT ratio.
Wide Receivers: @jvr1210
Start: Cedric Tillman vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
If you have been holding onto a high waiver wire pick, now would be a good time to use it. Since the departure of Amari Cooper and the injury to Deshaun Watson Cedric Tillman has emerged as the bonafide WR1 for the Cleveland Browns. After a very lackluster start to the season, Tillman has seen a combined 21 targets over the last 2 weeks, making the most of those targets with 15 receptions, 180 receiving yards, and 2 receiving TDs.
In a stunning upset over the Baltimore Ravens, Cedric Tillman has helped to breathe new life into the Browns offense and has established a sense of trust with Jameis Winston. The Chargers will be a bit of a tougher match-up for Tillman, as they have allowed the NFL’s 4th lowest receiving yards (1473), and the 3rd least receiving TDs (6). Regardless, I expect Tillman to keep things rolling this week and would highly recommend using the waiver wire add if Tillman is available and you need some stability at the WR position as we enter the second half of the season.
Start: Khalil Shakir vs. Miami Dolphins (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
Another beneficiary from the Amari Cooper trade, is Khalil Shakir. Since the Bills traded for Amari Cooper, Shakir has seen his highest production of the season. This is more of a PPR move as Shakir hasn’t been consistent at finding the endzone. Since the trade, however, Shakir has seen back-to-back season highs in targets with 7 in Week 8 and 10 in Week 9. With those opportunities, Shakir has produced back-to-back double-digit PPR performances and eclipsed the 100-yard receiving mark for the first time this season.
The addition of Amari Cooper has taken some of the pressure off Shakir in the slot and is allowing Josh Allen to spread the ball out a bit better. The Dolphins have been playing solid defense this year against the pass, as they have currently allowed the second fewest receiving yards, and the least receiving TDs this year, but they are coming off a game where the Cardinals were able to rack up over 300 receiving yards and 2 receiving TDs. Since Tua’s injury undoubtedly forced games to be a bit more run-heavy, the Dolphins QB matchups have been: A struggling Anthony Richardson, Jacoby Brissett, Mason Rudolph, and Geno Smith, not exactly anything to write home about. This week should provide a great opportunity for Allen and Shakir to up those defensive stats for Miami quite a bit. Shakir is a good FLEX or WR3 option for this week.
Sit: Diontae Johnson vs. Denver Broncos (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
It’s certainly been a boom or bust season so far for Diontae Johnson. In 3 of his 7 matchups so far this season Johnson has totaled 20+ PPR points. In his other 4, he has roughly a combined 18 PPR points. It’s certainly been volatile being part of the Carolina Panthers offense that has seen some of the worst QB play in the NFL, with Dalton and Bryce Young combining for a 72.4 QBR, good for second worst in the league, and an average of 177.9 passing yards per game, which is good for third worst in the league. It is good to point out that 2 of Johnson’s 20+ games came with Andy Dalton at the helm, who has played better than Bryce Young did.
Just a few days ago, new life was created for Diontae Johnson’s fantasy football value as he was traded to the Baltimore Ravens. Johnson will join Zay Flowers, Mark Andrews, and Isaiah Likely as Lamar Jackson’s top receivers and should give Baltimore some much-needed receiving depth and consistency. My biggest concerns come with Johnson not exactly having a full week of practice with the Ravens and is still coming off of a rib injury that held him out in week 8. Along with that, the Broncos have been the 4th best team against opposing wide receivers in fantasy football. With a new team and a tough match-up, I’d keep Johnson on your bench this week.
Sit: Keenan Allen @ Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
Things are starting to get frustrating for Keenan Allen owners. Allen and Caleb Williams just can’t seem to get on the same page. In the Bears Sunday loss to the Commanders, Allen led the team with 7 targets but only managed to turn that into 2 receptions for 39 yards. It was reminiscent of his week 1 performance where he led the Bears with 11 targets but only managed to produce 4 receptions for 29 yards. Aside from Allen’s 2 TDs in Week 6, he has struggled to find the end zone. I just don’t see things getting much better, Allen used to be a fairly consistent and safe start in PPR formats and was a bit less valued in standard formats. As of right now, I wouldn’t even consider putting him at the Flex in PPR formats, as Allen has yet to produce more than 5 receptions in a game and his season high for receiving yards sits at 41. If you are like me and are an Allen owner who has kept him on the bench, keep doing so.
Tight Ends: @jvr1210
Start: David Njoku @ Los Angeles Chargers (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
This one may seem obvious, but another beneficiary to the trade of Amari Cooper and injury to Deshaun Watson has been David Njoku. Njoku has really elevated his game these last two weeks, and has seen a heavy involvement in the passing game. Over the past two weeks Njoku has seen 21 targets, which he has turned into 15 receptions, 137 receiving yards, and 2 receiving TDs, good for 40 PPR points.
Njoku has played so well these past two weeks that he has propelled himself to TE16 in PPR formats, despite missing 3 match-ups and scoring 18 PPR points in his 3 other match-ups. As of right now Njoku is in must-start territory unless you also own George Kittle or Brock Bowers.
Start: Cade Otton @ Kansas City Chiefs (MNF, 11/4 @ 8:15 PM EST)
The man who is likely to be the most added TE in fantasy this week is Cade Otton. Just last week he was added in 16.4% of ESPN leagues, I wouldn’t be surprised if that number jumps up to 25% or higher this week. Over the past two weeks Otton has seen his target share skyrocket, receiving 10 targets in each of his last two games. With the increase in looks, Otton has managed to haul in 17 receptions for 181 yards and 2 TDs in the past two weeks.
With Chris Godwin and Mike Evans both out Baker Mayfield has found a new favorite target in Otton and I wouldn’t expect his production to slow down anytime soon. Otton also sees a heavily favorable match-up against the Kansas City Chiefs who currently rank 28th in fantasy football against opposing TEs, allowing 100+ receiving yards from the TE position in 2 of their games so far this season. Otton is another guy who has entered the must-start/TE1 territory.
Sit: Zach Ertz @ New York Giants (Sunday, 11/3 @1:00 PM EST)
As bad as the Giants offense has been, their defense, particularly the pass rush has been really good. The Giants far and away have produced the most sacks out of any defense, with 35 so far on the year. With a mobile QB in Jayden Daniels, the Commanders may be playing a lot of scramble ball in this match-up. This will likely deduct from the value of Zach Ertz this week, who has managed to get into the double digits in PPR formats in his last 3 match-ups. Against Tight Ends in particular the Giants have been very good, allowing an average of 4 receptions for 38 yards against the position. They have also not given up a receiving TD to a TE yet this year. It’s looking like a bit of a poor match-up for Zach Ertz this week, and I’d keep him on the bench.
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